The latest ASX 200 mining shares to get hit by broker downgrade

Sentiment is starting to improve for ASX 200 mining shares, but this could be time to take profit on some miners.
The post The latest ASX 200 mining shares to get hit by broker downgrade appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia. –

Mining shares on the  S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index:^AXJO) are starting to find their feet again but some just got hit by a broker downgrade.

China’s move to put downward pressure on commodity prices and worries about economic slowdown from the COVID-19 delta variant triggered the recent sell-off in ASX mining shares.

But these concerns have taken a backseat today with the sector outperforming the broader market.

Iron ore downgrade weighs on ASX 200 mining shares

Nonetheless, JPMorgan have lowered it iron ore price forecast after noting that China’s steel output for July fell 8.4% year-on-year. The downtrend continued into August.

“After hovering around $220/t for most of Jun/Jul, iron ore has corrected to ~$130/t,” said the broker.

“The significant change in sentiment, combined with lower Chinese steel output has led us to cut our 2021/22 forecasts from $181/150/t to $165/125/t (-9%/-17%).”

Earnings cuts will hurt some more than others

The lower iron ore price assumption led JPMorgan to lower its earnings forecast for ASX iron ore shares by 10% to 35%.

This means a lower valuation for the BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price, Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price and Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price.

But it’s the Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN) share price that has come out worst for wear. This is because Mineral Resources was the only one that JPMorgan downgraded to “neutral”.

Another ASX 200 mining share to get downgraded

This isn’t the only ASX 200 mining shares to get downgraded by the broker. The OZ Minerals Limited (ASX: OZL) share price was also cut to “neutral” as the copper producer’s valuation is looking stretched.

The OZ Minerals share price has surged around 70% over the past year when the ASX 200 rallied a more modest 26%.

Even fellow copper miner Sandfire Resources Ltd’s (ASX: SFR) share price couldn’t keep up as it notched a gain of around 40%.

Best ASX 200 shares to buy

But if you are wondering which ASX 200 mining shares you should be buying in the current environment, JPMorgan has a few suggestions.

One that is rated among its top picks is the BlueScope Steel Limited (ASX: BSL) share price. The dour outlook for iron ore is good news for steel producers as their input costs are falling.

Another hot ASX mining share to buy is the South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) share price.

“Aluminium and alumina price strength, along with a bounce in met coal sees a 38% FY22 earnings upgrade for S32,” explained JPMorgan.

The easy pickings in the sector may be gone, but there’s value to be found despite the commodity price volatility.

The post The latest ASX 200 mining shares to get hit by broker downgrade appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

Scott just revealed what he believes could be the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now.

*Returns as of August 16th 2021

More reading

How have these ASX 200 iron ore shares performed since reporting results?

BHP (ASX:BHP) share price lifts following climate action plan release
The CBA (ASX:CBA) share price is underperforming its big four peers today
ASX 200 (ASX:XJO) midday update: Westpac asset sale blocked, Zip crypto update

Fortescue (ASX:FMG) share price struggles amid new production curbs in China

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of BHP Billiton Limited, Fortescue Metals Group Limited, OZ Minerals Limited, Rio Tinto Ltd., Sandfire Resources NL, and South32 Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

Trade The World Anywhere & Anytime!

Mobile app platform with over 50,000 global listed securities across 12 markets (over 70% global market capitalisation), right from your Android or iOS device.

Integrated with exclusive trading idea and investment analysis tools to help you find actionable insight on virtually every financial instrument across our 12 global markets, to help you optimise your trading strategies.

Refer Your Friends

Tell your friends about Monex and gift them FREE access to our trading tools.

We respect your privacy and will only send this one email notification to your friends. 

Share With Your Friends

Share on facebook
Share on twitter
Share on linkedin

Monex Trading Tools Access and Usage Terms

The Monex Trading Tools (referred to as ‘tools’ hereafter) are available to you inside your client portal;

To activate access to the tools, you must have a verified and approved trading account and have made a deposit of at least AUD $1000.

An active and funded account with a positive trading balance is required to continue to have access to the tools;

Although the tools are available to you indefinitely, Monex Securities may at it’s discretion disable access to the tools in the future;

Monex securities reserves the right to change these terms and conditions from time to time, as it sees fit, without notice.

Important Notice
iOS & Android App - 12 International Markets & Over 70% Global Market Cap. $0 Brokerage On US Trades. Click Here!