Insights

Top broker tips A2 Milk (ASX:A2M) share price to jump 30%

Here’s why this broker likes A2 Milk shares…
The post Top broker tips A2 Milk (ASX:A2M) share price to jump 30% appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia. –

The A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) share price has been under pressure this week.

Over the last two trading sessions, the embattled infant formula company’s shares have fallen 9%.

This follows news that the company has been hit with a class action.

Is the A2 Milk share price in the buy zone?

According to a note out of Bell Potter, its analysts remain bullish on the A2 Milk share price.

The note reveals that the broker has retained its buy rating and $7.70 price target on its shares.

Based on the current A2 Milk share price of $5.92, this implies potential upside of 30% over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

Bell Potter has been looking at industry data and was happy with what it saw.

Its analysts highlight that infant formula exports to China rose 5% during August.

The broker commented: “Industry volumes rose +5% YOY in Aug’21, the second positive YOY outcome in the past four months. Volumes have been volatile in recent months, but in general terms are demonstrating signs of picking up from the lows seen in 2Q-3Q20. On a R3M basis, volumes are up +42% from the Jan’21 low.”

It was a similar story for exports from Christchurch to China, which recorded a 6% increase in August. This is a positive as historically there has been “a high correlation between the value of exports to China ex-Christchurch (CHC) and A2M reported PRC revenues.”

The broker also looked at infant formula imports into China from key markets and believes that things are improving.

Its analysts said: “The largest exporters of IMF to China are the EU, NZ and Australia. We view movements in volumes to China from these markets as indicative of overall market activity, with the R3M average removing monthly noise. While volumes continue to demonstrate double digit YOY declines (-28% YOY in Jul’21), sequentially volumes look to have formed a bottom in recent months, up +12% from Jan’21 lows.”

Undemanding valuation

In light of the above, no changes have been made to its forecasts and Bell Potter continues to see value in the A2 Milk share price.

It concluded: “There is no change to our Buy rating, earnings forecasts or A$7.70ps target price. In recent months we have seen a bottoming in trade flows into China and closer alignment of trade flows into and out of Australia. Trading at 14.3x FY22e EBITDA exMVM/US losses we don’t see A2M as particularly demanding relative to other China facing FMCG entities.”

The post Top broker tips A2 Milk (ASX:A2M) share price to jump 30% appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

Should you invest $1,000 in A2 Milk right now?

Before you consider A2 Milk, you’ll want to hear this.

Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and A2 Milk wasn’t one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for nearly a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

*Returns as of August 16th 2021

More reading

Why A2 Milk, Magellan, Santos, & Whitehaven Coal shares are falling

Why A2 Milk, CBA, Flight Centre, & Magellan’s shares are sinking

Which ASX shares are leading the way in the ASX 300 today?

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to sell today

ASX 200 (ASX:XJO) midday update: A2 Milk class action, tech shares rebound

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended A2 Milk. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

Trade The World Anywhere & Anytime!

Mobile app platform with over 50,000 global listed securities across 12 markets (over 70% global market capitalisation), right from your Android or iOS device.

Integrated with exclusive trading idea and investment analysis tools to help you find actionable insight on virtually every financial instrument across our 12 global markets, to help you optimise your trading strategies.

Refer Your Friends

Tell your friends about Monex and gift them FREE access to our trading tools.

We respect your privacy and will only send this one email notification to your friends. 

Share With Your Friends

Share on facebook
Share on twitter
Share on linkedin

Monex Trading Tools Access and Usage Terms

The Monex Trading Tools (referred to as ‘tools’ hereafter) are available to you inside your client portal;


To activate access to the tools, you must have a verified and approved trading account and have made a deposit of at least AUD $1000.


An active and funded account with a positive trading balance is required to continue to have access to the tools;


Although the tools are available to you indefinitely, Monex Securities may at it’s discretion disable access to the tools in the future;


Monex securities reserves the right to change these terms and conditions from time to time, as it sees fit, without notice.

Important Notice
iOS & Android App - 12 International Markets & Over 70% Global Market Cap. $0 Brokerage On US Trades. Click Here!