What will the lithium price be in 2025?

Where are lithium prices going in the coming years?
The post What will the lithium price be in 2025? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia. –

While commodities have been strong in 2022, few have been as strong as lithium.

Thanks to seemingly insatiable demand in the electric vehicle market and tight supply, prices of the white metal have surged higher.

Lithium prices continue to rise

The good news for current miners of the battery making ingredient is that lithium prices are expected to remain strong during the current quarter.

For example, Allkem Ltd (ASX: AKE) recently advised that it expects to command spodumene concentrate prices of US$5,000 per dry metric tonne and lithium carbonate prices of US$35,000 per tonne during the June quarter.

This is up from US$2,178 per dry metric tonne and US$27,236 per tonne, respectively, during the March quarter.

Furthermore, to show how far lithium prices have come, the release highlights that Allkem was commanding US$796 per dry metric tonne for spodumene concentrate in the September quarter and US$5,853 per tonne for its lithium carbonate during the March 2021 quarter.

Clearly, these are boom times for Allkem and other producers such as Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN) and Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS).

But what about the many lithium developers and explorers on the ASX boards?

Where are lithium prices going?

Commodity prices have a tendency to move in cycles. At the current moment, prices appear to be nearing the top of the cycle thanks to the aforementioned strong demand and tight supply.

However, high prices attract more supply and eventually when that supply floods into the market and satisfies demand, prices will start to fall.

So, what should shareholders of future lithium miners AVZ Minerals Ltd (ASX: AVZ), Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO), Lake Resources N.L. (ASX: LKE), Liontown Resources Limited (ASX: LTR), and Vulcan Energy Resources Ltd (ASX: VUL) be expecting?

Lithium carbonate

According to a recent note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts are expecting lithium carbonate prices to average US$46,640 per tonne in 2022. However, from 2023 onward it is expecting a sizeable decline.

The broker’s commodities team expects lithium carbonate prices to fall to:

US$20,500 per tonne in 2023
US$17,180 per tonne in 2024
US$14,468 per tonne in 2025.
Long run average of US$11,500 per tonne

What about spodumene concentrate?

It is a similar story for spodumene concentrate (6% li2O), with Goldman expecting an average of US$3,679 per tonne in 2022 before a sizeable pullback thereafter.

It is forecasting spodumene concentrate prices to be:

US$1,750 per tonne in 2023
US$950 per tonne in 2024
US$900 per tonne in 2025
Long run average of US$800 per tonne

In light of this, it would be worth considering just how profitable (or not) some lithium explorers and developers will be once prices normalise again.

The post What will the lithium price be in 2025? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

Scott just revealed what he believes could be the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now.

*Returns as of January 12th 2022

More reading

Why is the Pilbara Minerals share price rocketing 7% today?
Up 250% in a year, the Liontown share price surges 6% higher again today
Top brokers explain why not all ASX lithium shares are created equal
Why ARB, AVZ, Temple & Webster, and Zip shares are sinking
Here are the 3 most heavily traded ASX 200 shares on Wednesday

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Allkem Limited. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Trade The World Anywhere & Anytime!

Mobile app platform with over 50,000 global listed securities across 12 markets (over 70% global market capitalisation), right from your Android or iOS device.

Integrated with exclusive trading idea and investment analysis tools to help you find actionable insight on virtually every financial instrument across our 12 global markets, to help you optimise your trading strategies.

Refer Your Friends

Tell your friends about Monex and gift them FREE access to our trading tools.

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

We respect your privacy and will only send this one email notification to your friends. 

Share With Your Friends

Share on facebook
Share on twitter
Share on linkedin

Monex Trading Tools Access and Usage Terms

The Monex Trading Tools (referred to as ‘tools’ hereafter) are available to you inside your client portal;

To activate access to the tools, you must have a verified and approved trading account and have made a deposit of at least AUD $1000.

An active and funded account with a positive trading balance is required to continue to have access to the tools;

Although the tools are available to you indefinitely, Monex Securities may at it’s discretion disable access to the tools in the future;

Monex securities reserves the right to change these terms and conditions from time to time, as it sees fit, without notice.

Important Notice
iOS & Android - 12 International Markets & Over 70% Global Market Cap. $0 Brokerage On US & HK* Trades. Click Here!