Insights

Will the economy shed 100,000 jobs when JobKeeper payments stop?

JobKeeper payments end on 28 March and many are talking about what it will mean for the Australian economy. Here are a few insights.
The post Will the economy shed 100,000 jobs when JobKeeper payments stop? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia. –

asx share price dividend payments represented by man holding $50 note close to his face

The Australian economy is prepping for a 28 March 2021 axe of the federal government’s JobKeeper payment scheme. 

The JobKeeper scheme has been a critical tool in battling the economic effects of the coronavirus.

Following the approval of US President Joe Biden’s stimulus package, many Australians are wondering what comes after JobKeeper, and what its cessation means for the economy.

Economist predicts dramatic job losses

Today’s The Australian features Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) economist Nicholas Guesnon discussing his opinion about JobKeeper payments coming to an end.

Guesnon believes that up to 110,000 employees working in sectors still vulnerable to the economic impacts of coronavirus, like travel, are at risk of losing work. He estimates up to 25% of employees presently receiving the benefit could lose their job.

Guesnon further mentioned that he thinks the transport, arts and recreation, accommodation and food services sectors will suffer a blow in the coming weeks. This is due to these industries’ association with and reliance on international travel, an important part of the economy that’s been ravaged by the pandemic.

NSW Treasurer says JobKeeper payments must end

New South Wales Treasurer Dominic Perrottet supports the winding up of the JobKeeper scheme.

According to the Sydney Morning Herald, Perottet said:

We cannot continue to make decisions today that impact generations to come to pay back the depth of the circumstance we find ourselves in… 

We need a proportionate and measured response.

Perrottet’s guess at which sectors of the economy would feel the biggest hit from JobKeeper payments disappearing include construction, manufacturing, administration and tourism.

Foolish takeaway

Some economists, such as Su-Lin Ong at RBC Markets, aren’t expecting anything too crazy to happen once JobKeeper payments end.

The Australian notes that she expects a short-lived disruption to the economy when unemployment numbers rise before they fall again.

But considering the stimulus packages that continue to be dished out around the world, the Australian Government may still be considering its next move after JobKeeper.

Where to invest $1,000 right now

When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

See The 5 Stocks

*Returns as of February 15th 2021

More reading

Motley Fool contributor Gretchen Kennedy has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

The post Will the economy shed 100,000 jobs when JobKeeper payments stop? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

Trade The World Anywhere & Anytime!

Mobile app platform with over 50,000 global listed securities across 12 markets (over 70% global market capitalisation), right from your Android or iOS device.

Integrated with exclusive trading idea and investment analysis tools to help you find actionable insight on virtually every financial instrument across our 12 global markets, to help you optimise your trading strategies.

Refer Your Friends

Tell your friends about Monex and gift them FREE access to our trading tools.

We respect your privacy and will only send this one email notification to your friends. 

Share With Your Friends

Share on facebook
Share on twitter
Share on linkedin

Monex Trading Tools Access and Usage Terms

The Monex Trading Tools (referred to as ‘tools’ hereafter) are available to you inside your client portal;


To activate access to the tools, you must have a verified and approved trading account and have made a deposit of at least AUD $1000.


An active and funded account with a positive trading balance is required to continue to have access to the tools;


Although the tools are available to you indefinitely, Monex Securities may at it’s discretion disable access to the tools in the future;


Monex securities reserves the right to change these terms and conditions from time to time, as it sees fit, without notice.

Important Notice
iOS & Android App - 12 International Markets & Over 70% Global Market Cap. $0 Brokerage On US Trades. Click Here!