Insights

Woodside (ASX:WPL) share price still at 16-year lows. Time to buy?

Woodside Petroleum Ltd (ASX: WPL) shares are close to a 16-year low. Is this a buying opportunity too good to miss for ASX investors?
The post Woodside (ASX:WPL) share price still at 16-year lows. Time to buy? appeared first on Motley Fool Australia. –

oil can falling over and spilling coins signifying fall in woodside share price

The Woodside Petroleum Ltd (ASX: WPL) share price is not a very happy camper right now. At opening trade today, Woodside shares are going for just $18.47 at the time of writing. That’s a rather striking level for one of the ASX’s largest pure oil and gas plays.

Just take a look at the graph below, and you’ll see what I mean:

WPL share price

Woodside 10-year share price data | Source: fool.com.au

Yep, and that’s just over the past decade.

You have to go all the way back to 2004 – the year George W. Bush was re-elected US president and Shrek 2 was released – to see the last time Woodside shares traded this low. It goes without saying that 2020 hasn’t been a pretty year for Woodside. The share started the year at $34.47 and climbed as high as $36.38 in January. But then the coronavirus pandemic came, and Woodside shares were smashed. The Woodside share price fell more than 54% between 21 February and 23 March, bottoming out at just $14.93.

So, given this dramatic fall from grace, are Woodside shares in the bargain bin today? Or is this company a falling knife we should steer clear of?

Why are Woodside shares at a 16-year low?

As I mentioned earlier, prior to 2020 we hadn’t seen Woodside shares at these levels since 2004. So what has caused this dramatic fall? In my opinion, we can put it down purely to the coronavirus pandemic. Crude oil is a highly cyclical commodity at the best of times. Because oil is an input into many different industries (transport, plastics, chemicals etc), the world uses more oil in times when the economy is booming. But conversely, oil is also far less in demand when the economic weather turns sour. And the world is now in the midst of one of the worst global recessions in living memory.

Almost overnight, international travel was halted. On top of that, with lockdowns, shutdowns, and working from home, there was suddenly far fewer people driving. Put all that together and we have a massive demand shock to the oil price. As a result, oil cratered from around US$55 a barrel back in February to negative pricing in April (for the first time in history).

Since Woodside is purely in the business of drilling and selling oil, these developments have been calamitous.

Is this a good time to buy Woodside?

When it comes to commodity/resources shares, my philosophy has always been to buy at low points of a commodity cycle. And right now, I still think oil is cheap by historical standards (albeit not at the levels we saw in March and April). As such, I think, if you are comfortable and willing to own an oil stock in your portfolio, now is probably a good time to pounce on Woodside. The world is still very much reliant on oil, and I fully expect the oil price to substantially recover in line with the global economy over the next year or 2. Thus, today’s Woodside share price could well prove to be a great place to open a position.

Man who said buy Kogan shares at $3.63 says buy these 3 ASX stocks now

When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

In this FREE STOCK REPORT, Scott just revealed what he believes are the 3 ASX stocks for the post COVID world that investors should buy right now while they still can. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks these could really go gangbusters as we move into ‘the new normal’.

Find out the names of our 3 Post COVID Stocks – For FREE!

*Returns as of 6/8/2020

More reading

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The post Woodside (ASX:WPL) share price still at 16-year lows. Time to buy? appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

Trade The World Anywhere & Anytime!

Mobile app platform with over 50,000 global listed securities across 12 markets (over 70% global market capitalisation), right from your Android or iOS device.

Integrated with exclusive trading idea and investment analysis tools to help you find actionable insight on virtually every financial instrument across our 12 global markets, to help you optimise your trading strategies.

Refer Your Friends

Tell your friends about Monex and gift them FREE access to our trading tools.

We respect your privacy and will only send this one email notification to your friends. 

Share With Your Friends

Share on facebook
Share on twitter
Share on linkedin

Monex Trading Tools Access and Usage Terms

The Monex Trading Tools (referred to as ‘tools’ hereafter) are available to you inside your client portal;


To activate access to the tools, you must have a verified and approved trading account and have made a deposit of at least AUD $1000.


An active and funded account with a positive trading balance is required to continue to have access to the tools;


Although the tools are available to you indefinitely, Monex Securities may at it’s discretion disable access to the tools in the future;


Monex securities reserves the right to change these terms and conditions from time to time, as it sees fit, without notice.

Important Notice
iOS & Android App - 12 International Markets & Over 70% Global Market Cap. $0 Brokerage On US Trades. Click Here!