The rotation away from large Nasdaq stocks like Tesla has intensified, resulting in the market’s biggest divergence since the dotcom bubble broke a generation ago.
Here’s a weekly chart of the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ). The lower study shows its relative strength versus the DJ Industrial Average ETF (DIA) with a four-period interval. That means it compares the rolling four-week performance of the two stock market benchmarks.Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), weekly chart. Lower study shows relative strength vs. the DJ Industrial Average ETF (DIA).
The result? QQQ has lagged DIA by almost 12 percentage points in the last four weeks. It’s the worst reading since February 2002.
The selloff is part of a big shift in the market away from technology stocks that rallied during the coronavirus pandemic. Investors are unloading those in favor of value plays like financials and industrials, which benefit more directly from reopening. Many of them were also neglected over the previous decade. That means they have few entrenched owners who can become sellers — unlike the big names in QQQ.
QQQ is an exchange-traded fund, or ETF, that tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index. All of its 10 largest holdings are down in the last week, led by Tesla’s (TSLA) 22 percent decline. In the overall index, almost four-fifths of the stocks are down in the period.
The second chart compares two similar ETFs: the iShares Russell 1000 Growth Fund (IWF) versus the iShares Russell 1000 Value Fund (IWD). IWF is similar to QQQ, with stocks like Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft (MSFT). IWD is similar to DIA, with big names like JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Walt Disney (DIS).IShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF (IWF), weekly chart. Lower study shows relative strength vs. the iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF (IWF)
This article was written by David Russell, TradeStation Securities, Inc., part of the Monex Group Inc, published on 08/03/2021.
David Russell is VP of Market Intelligence at TradeStation Group. Drawing on nearly two decades of experience as a financial journalist and analyst, his background includes equities, emerging markets, fixed-income and derivatives. He previously worked at Bloomberg News, CNBC and E*TRADE Financial. Russell systematically reviews countless global financial headlines and indicators in search of broad tradable trends that present opportunities repeatedly over time. Customers can expect him to keep them appraised of sector leadership, relative strength and the big stories – especially those overlooked by other commentators. He’s also a big fan of generating leverage with options to limit capital at risk.
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