Twitter Steals the Show This Week on Signs of Advertising Breakthroughs

Twitter is having its best week in six years as its advertising business finally starts to gain traction.

Twitter (TWTR) is up 27 percent since Friday, February 5. That makes it the best-performing member of the S&P 500 for the period. It’s also the biggest weekly gain for Jack Dorsey’s social-media company since February 2015.

The rally goes beyond simply beating estimates. TWTR started running before the report on hopes of improving its advertising platform. It jumped to new highs after earnings and revenue inched past estimates, and then accelerated as investors sensed the improvements were taking effect.

Why Is Twitter Stock Rallying?

Several breakthroughs seem to be taking shape:

  • Direct response advertising (DR) is starting to work after quarters of lagging peers like Facebook (FB) and Alphabet (GOOGL).
  • Mobile Application Promotion (MAP) revenue grew 50 percent and executives see further gains after a recent update to the service.
  • Advertising was strong in general, mirroring trends at FB and GOOGL.
  • Usage remains strong. Some investors worried that banning politicians like Donald Trump would hurt traffic, but TWTR countered by emphasizing its global user base.
  • TWTR is exploring subscription services to boost revenue, according to Bloomberg.

It’s also noteworthy that TWTR has broken to new 52-week highs on four separate occasions since the beginning of September. Meanwhile FB hasn’t hit a new high the entire time. This seems to fit the pattern seen in Snap (SNAP) and Pinterest (PINS) of investor capital shifting from FB to smaller social media plays.

Twitter (TWTR), daily chart, showing breakouts to new highs.

Illumina, Hanesbrands, Zebra Stocks Jump

Biggest Gainers in the S&P 500 This Week
Twitter (TWTR) +27%
Illumina (ILMN) +18%
Zebra Technologies (ZBRA) +17%
Hanesbrands (HBI) +17%
Applied Materials (AMAT) +16%

Several other members of the S&P 500 jumped on strong earnings this week:

  • Illumina (ILMN): The biotechnology provider is having its best week in nine years. Earnings and revenue beat as clinical demand and instrument growth improved.
  • Zebra Technologies (ZBRA): The maker of tracking products beat estimates. “Demand from our large customers also continued to be strong due to their need to digitize and automate workflows in an increasingly on-demand economy,” CEO Anders Gustafsson said on the conference call.
  • Hanesbrands (HBI): The apparel company showed signs of a gaining market after years of bleeding lower. Management is now focused on the Champion brand, improving e-commerce and streamlining its product offering.

Energy Stocks, Chip Stocks Lead

Traditional energy stocks (fossil fuels/non-renewables) led the market this week and are on pace for their longest monthly winning streak in 6-1/2 years. The sector remains the top performer in 2021 as investors look for strong demand as the economy continues to reopen. Reuters reported that hedge funds are increasingly bullish on the sector. JPMorgan’s prominent quantitative analyst Marko Kolanovic also issued a bullish opinion, partially from retail investors seeking hedges against inflation.

Biggest Decliners in the S&P 500 This Week
Akamai Technologies (AKAM) -11%
Molson Coors Beverage (TAP) -10%
Newell Brands (NWL) -7.4%
FMC (FMC) -6.6%
Incyte (INCY) -6.6%

Semiconductors also surged amid reports of widespread chip shortages. Companies that supply the industry, including Lam Research and Applied Materials led the charge.

Consumer discretionaries led to the downside, pulling back from gains the previous week. However they’re still outperforming on the year.

Utilities and consumer staples, on the other hand, continue to struggle and are now negative on a year-to-date basis. Neither stand to benefit from the economy rebounding, and both have potential risk if interest rates continue to rise. The SPDR Consumer Staples ETF (XLP) is the only major sector fund now below its 50-day moving average.

This article was written by David Russell, TradeStation Securities, Inc., part of the Monex Group Inc, published on 12/02/2021.

David Russell
David Russell is VP of Market Intelligence at TradeStation Group. Drawing on nearly two decades of experience as a financial journalist and analyst, his background includes equities, emerging markets, fixed-income and derivatives. He previously worked at Bloomberg News, CNBC and E*TRADE Financial. Russell systematically reviews countless global financial headlines and indicators in search of broad tradable trends that present opportunities repeatedly over time. Customers can expect him to keep them appraised of sector leadership, relative strength and the big stories – especially those overlooked by other commentators. He’s also a big fan of generating leverage with options to limit capital at risk.

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